Probability
Calculate likelihood of events occurring
Probability Theory
Probability measures the likelihood of an event occurring. It ranges from 0 (impossible) to 1 (certain).
Basic Definitions
Experiment: A process that produces an outcome
Sample Space: All possible outcomes
Event: One or more specific outcomes
Calculating Probability
P(Event) = Number of Favorable Outcomes / Total Number of Possible Outcomes
Example: Rolling a die and getting 5
P(5) = 1 / 6 ≈ 0.167 or 16.7%
Types of Events
Independent Events: One event doesn't affect another
P(A and B) = P(A) × P(B)
Dependent Events: One event affects the other
P(A then B) = P(A) × P(B|A)
Mutually Exclusive: Events that can't happen together
P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B)
Combinations and Permutations
Permutations: Order matters. P(n,r) = n! / (n-r)!
Combinations: Order doesn't matter. C(n,r) = n! / (r!(n-r)!)